Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.660559 1.912666 2.189994 2.517695 2.894386 3.313908 3.816725
2025-05-18 1.261500 1.579106 1.958070 2.443596 3.049391 3.780769 4.731700
2025-05-25 0.968811 1.302997 1.730696 2.318276 3.105125 4.123532 5.543989
2025-06-01 0.798191 1.144025 1.614971 2.303242 3.284504 4.635220 6.640113
2025-06-08 0.660957 1.002989 1.495427 2.256197 3.403525 5.072543 7.692172
2025-06-15 0.598793 0.956953 1.499310 2.380484 3.778884 5.917616 9.448902
2025-06-22 0.529282 0.887004 1.454354 2.419713 4.025002 6.595486 11.041425
2025-06-29 0.460341 0.806133 1.378554 2.395091 4.160182 7.109165 12.433808
2025-07-06 0.388965 0.709665 1.262185 2.283332 4.129437 7.338420 13.369700
2025-07-13 0.361701 0.685821 1.265559 2.377899 4.466468 8.234370 15.587838
2025-07-20 0.340142 0.668836 1.277941 2.488738 4.844965 9.247606 18.151009
2025-07-27 0.315322 0.641837 1.267598 2.554053 5.144050 10.147573 20.614002
2025-08-03 0.286267 0.603822 1.233861 2.574791 5.370645 10.960566 23.068030
2025-08-10 0.251520 0.549213 1.160065 2.504696 5.405285 11.401358 24.835611
2025-08-17 0.216581 0.488980 1.066374 2.379345 5.306128 11.554204 26.017736
2025-08-24 0.195857 0.456681 1.027137 2.365684 5.445518 12.227718 28.430510
2025-08-31 0.175125 0.421270 0.976178 2.318360 5.502608 12.728438 30.525377
2025-09-07 0.169155 0.419348 1.000126 2.446671 5.981551 14.238988 35.184454
2025-09-14 0.157814 0.402829 0.987950 2.487341 6.257990 15.317261 38.962258
2025-09-21 0.143721 0.377408 0.951064 2.462231 6.369839 16.017881 41.907665
2025-09-28 0.126341 0.341055 0.882443 2.347451 6.239764 16.108546 43.314908
2025-10-05 0.121612 0.337200 0.895115 2.444737 6.671590 17.668220 48.788282
2025-10-12 0.117881 0.335498 0.913109 2.558728 7.163918 19.449204 55.114530